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TorontoSafeUrban

Don Valley East

MPP: Adil Shamji · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 55.9% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Adil Shamji · Liberalelected15,46556.6%
  • Roger Gingerich · Progressive Conservative8,78432.2%
  • Frank Chu · Ontario NDP2,0947.7%
  • Joshua Miersch · Green7782.9%
  • Krasimir Penkov · Other1800.7%
Margin
24.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
39.7%
Registered
68,774

2022 result

  • Adil Shamji · Liberalelected12,31343.9%
  • Sam Moini · Progressive Conservative9,03832.2%
  • Mara-Elena Nagy · Ontario NDP4,35515.5%
  • Rizwan Khan · Green1,1394.1%
  • Denyse Twagiramariya · Other3231.1%
  • Donald McMullen · Other2951.1%
  • Stella Kargiannakis · Independent1920.7%
  • Dimitre Popov · Other1800.6%
  • Wayne Simmons · Other1560.6%
  • Svetlozar Aleksiev · Other850.3%

2018 result

  • Michael Coteau · Liberalelected13,01235.9%
  • Denzil Minnan-Wong · Progressive Conservative11,98433.1%
  • Khalid Ahmed · Ontario NDP9,93727.4%
  • Mark Wong · Green9172.5%
  • Justin Robinson · Other2360.7%
  • Wayne Simmons · Other1310.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$78,50093 of 124
Average rent
$1,49247 of 124
Renters
55.7%9 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
36.5%37 of 124
Median age
41.658 of 124
Over 65
19.1%59 of 124
Immigrants
53.4%18 of 124
Visible minority
63.1%23 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.6%100 of 124
Unemployment
15.1%17 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.