Don Valley North
MPP: Jonathan Tsao · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal95% chance of winning
- Liberal · 48.3% projected vote95%
- Progressive Conservative · 37.4% projected vote5%
2025 result
- Jonathan Tsao · Liberalelected13,37543.8%
- Sue Liu · Progressive Conservative11,48437.6%
- Vincent Ke · Independent3,0059.8%
- Ebrahim Astaraki · Ontario NDP1,5625.1%
- Andrew Armstrong · Green7842.6%
- Annie Nolan · Other3461.1%
- Margin
- 6.2%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 37.8%
- Registered
- 80,903
2022 result
- Vincent Ke · Progressive Conservativeelected15,04147.4%
- Jonathan Tsao · Liberal11,68536.8%
- Ebrahim Astaraki · Ontario NDP3,1339.9%
- Ostap Soroka · Green1,1793.7%
- Jay Sobel · Other6902.2%
2018 result
- Vincent Ke · Progressive Conservativeelected18,04644.4%
- Shelley Carroll · Liberal12,55730.9%
- Akil Sadikali · Ontario NDP8,47620.9%
- Janelle Yanishewski · Green1,0392.6%
- Sarah Matthews · Other2870.7%
- Alexander Verstraten · Other2020.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $84,00075 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,75423 of 124
- Renters
- 43.2%27 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 49.8%9 of 124
- Median age
- 40.874 of 124
- Over 65
- 20.3%45 of 124
- Immigrants
- 60.6%6 of 124
- Visible minority
- 74.5%15 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.3%113 of 124
- Unemployment
- 14.4%22 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.