Essex
MPP: Anthony Leardi · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 52.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Anthony Leardi · Progressive Conservativeelected30,79055.6%
- Rachael Mills · Ontario NDP12,04721.8%
- Tamara Stomp · Liberal8,70715.7%
- Stephen Higgins · Green1,2822.3%
- Brigitte Belton · Other9401.7%
- Travis Jacques · Other9311.7%
- Kevin Linfield · Other4690.8%
- William Szabo Verzoc · Independent2000.4%
- Margin
- 33.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 50.0%
- Registered
- 110,725
2022 result
- Anthony Leardi · Progressive Conservativeelected24,92651.1%
- Ron Leclair · Ontario NDP13,79328.3%
- Manpreet Brar · Liberal4,1868.6%
- Frank Causarano · Other3,3226.8%
- Danielle Sylvester · Other1,2932.6%
- Nicholas Wendler · Green9892.0%
- Kevin Linfield · Other2710.6%
2018 result
- Taras Natyshak · Ontario NDPelected26,13448.0%
- Chris Lewis · Progressive Conservative23,42343.0%
- Kate Festeryga · Liberal3,0265.5%
- Nancy Pancheshan · Green1,9203.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00029 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,13692 of 124
- Renters
- 11.7%122 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 22.6%75 of 124
- Median age
- 44.036 of 124
- Over 65
- 19.6%53 of 124
- Immigrants
- 14.0%87 of 124
- Visible minority
- 10.4%91 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.1%38 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.5%54 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.