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TorontoSafeUrban

Etobicoke North

MPP: Doug Ford · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 55.5% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Doug Ford · Progressive Conservativeelected15,42659.4%
  • Julie Lutete · Liberal7,36928.4%
  • Bryan Blair · Ontario NDP2,0678.0%
  • Chelsey Edwards · Green5262.0%
  • Andy D'Andrea · Other4051.6%
  • John Gardner · Other1770.7%
Margin
31.0%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
33.8%
Registered
76,734

2022 result

  • Doug Ford · Progressive Conservativeelected13,93455.5%
  • Julie Lutete · Liberal5,88423.4%
  • Aisha Jahangir · Ontario NDP3,29013.1%
  • Andy D'Andrea · Other7823.1%
  • Gabriel Blanc · Green6902.8%
  • Victor Ehikwe · Other3911.6%
  • Carol Royer · Other1320.5%

2018 result

  • Doug Ford · Progressive Conservativeelected19,05552.5%
  • Mahamud Amin · Ontario NDP9,21025.4%
  • Shafiq Qaadri · Liberal6,60118.2%
  • Nancy Kaur Ghuman · Green1,0262.8%
  • Brianne Lefebvre · Other4141.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$82,00081 of 124
Average rent
$1,32868 of 124
Renters
45.5%21 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
22.9%72 of 124
Median age
38.0107 of 124
Over 65
15.8%91 of 124
Immigrants
56.2%14 of 124
Visible minority
78.3%8 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.5%103 of 124
Unemployment
16.5%6 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.