Flamborough—Glanbrook
MPP: Donna Skelly · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 45.6% projected vote99%
- Liberal · 31.8% projected vote1%
2025 result
- Donna Skelly · Progressive Conservativeelected23,79049.4%
- Joshua Bell · Liberal15,13531.4%
- Lilly Noble · Ontario NDP6,09512.7%
- Janet Errygers · Green1,9234.0%
- Kristen Halfpenny · Other1,2332.6%
- Margin
- 18.0%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 47.6%
- Registered
- 101,104
2022 result
- Donna Skelly · Progressive Conservativeelected20,30646.2%
- Allison Cillis · Ontario NDP9,99522.7%
- Melisse Willems · Liberal8,97020.4%
- Mario Portak · Green2,3925.4%
- Paul Simoes · Other1,4923.4%
- Walt Juchniewicz · Other7101.6%
- Nikita Mahood · Other860.2%
2018 result
- Donna Skelly · Progressive Conservativeelected22,45443.5%
- Melissa McGlashan · Ontario NDP17,63034.2%
- Judi Partridge · Liberal7,96715.4%
- Janet Errygers · Green2,3074.5%
- Glenn Langton · Other5411.1%
- Rudy Miller · Other4510.9%
- Roman Sarachman · Other2380.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $117,00020 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,61034 of 124
- Renters
- 13.3%119 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 25.8%67 of 124
- Median age
- 39.690 of 124
- Over 65
- 15.9%90 of 124
- Immigrants
- 23.0%73 of 124
- Visible minority
- 21.2%77 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.4%74 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.9%102 of 124
Closest races in Hamilton-Niagara
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.