Hamilton Mountain
MPP: Monica Ciriello · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative49% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 32.5% projected vote49%
- Liberal · 31.4% projected vote35%
- Ontario NDP · 29.2% projected vote17%
2025 result
- Monica Ciriello · Progressive Conservativeelected13,94836.2%
- Dawn Danko · Liberal11,93330.9%
- Kojo Damptey · Ontario NDP10,03726.0%
- Joshua Czerniga · Green1,5444.0%
- Layla Marie-Angela Protopapa · Other3921.0%
- Dan Preston · Other2780.7%
- Ejaz Butt · Independent2670.7%
- Bing Wong · Other1780.5%
- Margin
- 5.2%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 45.8%
- Registered
- 84,310
2022 result
- Monique Taylor · Ontario NDPelected15,25044.8%
- Mike Spadafora · Progressive Conservative10,21130.0%
- Chantale Lachance · Liberal5,30015.6%
- Janet Errygers · Green1,9135.6%
- Baylee Nguyen · Other7702.3%
- Andy Busa · Other5901.7%
2018 result
- Monique Taylor · Ontario NDPelected24,40654.6%
- Esther Pauls · Progressive Conservative12,89128.8%
- Damin Starr · Liberal4,1349.2%
- Dave Urquhart · Green2,3005.1%
- Kristofer Maves · Other5331.2%
- Scott Patrick Miller · Other4531.0%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $85,00071 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,20280 of 124
- Renters
- 32.9%45 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.8%89 of 124
- Median age
- 41.266 of 124
- Over 65
- 18.7%62 of 124
- Immigrants
- 28.0%57 of 124
- Visible minority
- 30.0%59 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.1%59 of 124
- Unemployment
- 13.3%37 of 124
Closest races in Hamilton-Niagara
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.