Niagara West
MPP: Sam Oosterhoff · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 48.0% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Sam Oosterhoff · Progressive Conservativeelected22,91651.1%
- Shauna Boyle · Liberal11,09124.8%
- Dave Augustyn · Ontario NDP7,31216.3%
- Mark Harrison · Green1,7944.0%
- Aaron Albano · Other6761.5%
- Aaron Allison · Other6291.4%
- Stefanos Karatopis · Other3260.7%
- Jim Torma · Other730.2%
- Margin
- 26.4%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 54.6%
- Registered
- 82,145
2022 result
- Sam Oosterhoff · Progressive Conservativeelected18,77944.9%
- Dave Augustyn · Ontario NDP8,65820.7%
- Doug Joyner · Liberal8,01319.2%
- Laura Garner · Green2,7026.5%
- Dan Dale · Other2,2075.3%
- Chris Arnew · Other1,0982.6%
- Stefanos Karatopis · Other2590.6%
- Jim Torma · Other800.2%
2018 result
- Sam Oosterhoff · Progressive Conservativeelected24,39452.8%
- Curtis Fric · Ontario NDP13,76929.8%
- Joe Kanee · Liberal4,85910.5%
- Jessica Tillmanns · Green2,5905.6%
- Stefanos Karatopis · Other4511.0%
- Geoffrey E. Barton · Other1270.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00032 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,36264 of 124
- Renters
- 14.0%117 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 23.2%71 of 124
- Median age
- 45.230 of 124
- Over 65
- 22.1%29 of 124
- Immigrants
- 14.0%88 of 124
- Visible minority
- 6.6%96 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.2%58 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.4%107 of 124
Closest races in Hamilton-Niagara
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.