Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
MPP: Sandy Shaw · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP98% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 41.6% projected vote98%
- Progressive Conservative · 29.1% projected vote2%
2025 result
- Sandy Shaw · Ontario NDPelected19,68438.9%
- John Demik · Progressive Conservative16,76633.1%
- Julia Brown · Liberal11,54322.8%
- Guy Bisson · Green1,7473.5%
- Lee Weiss Vassor · Other5871.2%
- Spencer Rocchi · Other2290.5%
- Nori Smith · Other810.2%
- Margin
- 5.8%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 52.1%
- Registered
- 97,226
2022 result
- Sandy Shaw · Ontario NDPelected18,19740.4%
- Fred Bennink · Progressive Conservative14,85233.0%
- Shubha Sandill · Liberal8,18418.2%
- Syam Chandra · Green2,4165.4%
- Lee Weiss · Other9042.0%
- Frank Thiessen · Other4641.0%
2018 result
- Sandy Shaw · Ontario NDPelected23,92143.2%
- Ben Levitt · Progressive Conservative17,18931.0%
- Ted McMeekin · Liberal10,96019.8%
- Peter Ormond · Green2,3024.2%
- Stephanie Davies · Other3990.7%
- Nicholas Dushko · Other3720.7%
- Jim Enos · Independent2470.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $100,00040 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,38061 of 124
- Renters
- 27.4%65 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 37.4%33 of 124
- Median age
- 42.849 of 124
- Over 65
- 21.4%34 of 124
- Immigrants
- 26.9%60 of 124
- Visible minority
- 26.8%64 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.3%78 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.8%69 of 124
Closest races in Hamilton-Niagara
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.