Guelph
MPP: Mike Schreiner · Green
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Green>99% chance of winning
- Green · 55.7% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Mike Schreiner · Greenelected34,23856.9%
- Robert Coole · Progressive Conservative14,38623.9%
- Mustafa Zuberi · Liberal6,87411.4%
- Cameron Spence · Ontario NDP3,4975.8%
- Carina Fraser · Other1,1371.9%
- Margin
- 33.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 50.9%
- Registered
- 118,153
2022 result
- Mike Schreiner · Greenelected29,75254.5%
- Peter McSherry · Progressive Conservative11,14920.4%
- Raechelle Devereaux · Liberal7,26313.3%
- James Parr · Ontario NDP4,4028.1%
- Will Lomker · Other1,6193.0%
- Juanita Burnett · Other2510.5%
- Paul Taylor · Other2020.4%
2018 result
- Mike Schreiner · Greenelected29,08245.0%
- Ray Ferraro · Progressive Conservative14,08421.8%
- Agnieszka Mlynarz · Ontario NDP13,92921.6%
- Sly Castaldi · Liberal6,53710.1%
- Paul Taylor · Other3580.6%
- Michael Riehl · Other2970.5%
- Thomas Mooney · Other1810.3%
- Juanita Burnett · Other1090.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $93,00049 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,38060 of 124
- Renters
- 34.3%39 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 33.8%44 of 124
- Median age
- 38.4101 of 124
- Over 65
- 16.4%87 of 124
- Immigrants
- 23.8%69 of 124
- Visible minority
- 25.3%68 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.6%68 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.8%87 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.