Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
MPP: Laurie Scott · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 50.1% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Laurie Scott · Progressive Conservativeelected26,44652.0%
- Alison Bennie · Liberal11,67623.0%
- Barbara Doyle · Ontario NDP6,98013.7%
- Tom Regina · Green2,5935.1%
- Jacquie Barker · Other1,2212.4%
- Brian Kerr · Other9691.9%
- Zachary Tisdale · Other3840.8%
- Gene Balfour · Independent2870.6%
- Bill Denby · Other2750.5%
- Margin
- 29.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 47.8%
- Registered
- 106,268
2022 result
- Laurie Scott · Progressive Conservativeelected25,59452.3%
- Barbara Doyle · Ontario NDP7,69215.7%
- Don McBey · Liberal6,59013.5%
- Kerstin Kelly · Other3,9498.1%
- Tom Regina · Green3,6957.5%
- Ben Prentice · Other8881.8%
- Gene Balfour · Other5181.1%
2018 result
- Laurie Scott · Progressive Conservativeelected32,40656.7%
- Zac Miller · Ontario NDP15,14226.5%
- Brooklynne Cramp-Waldinsperger · Liberal5,6559.9%
- Lynn Therien · Green2,5514.5%
- Thomas Rhyno · Other6221.1%
- Gene Balfour · Other4550.8%
- Chuck Macmillan · Other3120.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $83,00078 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,10498 of 124
- Renters
- 15.8%109 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.7%111 of 124
- Median age
- 52.43 of 124
- Over 65
- 28.2%2 of 124
- Immigrants
- 7.9%106 of 124
- Visible minority
- 3.5%110 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.1%39 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.7%91 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.