Huron—Bruce
MPP: Lisa Thompson · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 47.2% projected vote>99%
- Liberal · 29.0% projected vote<1%
2025 result
- Lisa Thompson · Progressive Conservativeelected24,46150.0%
- Ian Burbidge · Liberal13,70328.0%
- Nick McGregor · Ontario NDP5,73911.7%
- Matthew Van Ankum · Green2,7275.6%
- Zack Weiler · Other2,0654.2%
- Bruce Eisen · Other2060.4%
- Margin
- 22.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 54.5%
- Registered
- 89,807
2022 result
- Lisa Thompson · Progressive Conservativeelected24,36952.0%
- Shelley Blackmore · Liberal8,77518.7%
- Laurie Hazzard · Ontario NDP7,67916.4%
- Matt Kennedy · Other3,3847.2%
- Matthew Van Ankum · Green1,9224.1%
- Gerrie Huenemoerder · Other4741.0%
- Ronald Stephens · Independent2120.5%
- Bruce Eisen · Other770.2%
2018 result
- Lisa Thompson · Progressive Conservativeelected27,64652.4%
- Jan Johnstone · Ontario NDP15,32629.0%
- Don Matheson · Liberal7,35613.9%
- Nicholas Wendler · Green1,8043.4%
- Ron Stephens · Other3990.8%
- Gerrie Huenemoerder · Other2710.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $86,00066 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,014110 of 124
- Renters
- 20.8%82 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.8%107 of 124
- Median age
- 46.018 of 124
- Over 65
- 25.1%10 of 124
- Immigrants
- 7.5%109 of 124
- Visible minority
- 3.2%114 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.3%53 of 124
- Unemployment
- 7.0%123 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.