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Northern OntarioSafeRural

Kenora—Rainy River

MPP: Greg Rickford · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 55.8% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Greg Rickford · Progressive Conservativeelected10,54159.9%
  • Rudy Turtle · Ontario NDP3,30818.8%
  • Anthony Leek · Liberal3,07217.5%
  • John Redins · Green3361.9%
  • Randy Ricci · Other3331.9%
Margin
41.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
46.9%
Registered
37,548

2022 result

  • Greg Rickford · Progressive Conservativeelected9,56759.6%
  • Joanne Formanek Gustafson · Ontario NDP3,19919.9%
  • Anthony Leek · Liberal1,82311.3%
  • Catherine Kiewning · Green6083.8%
  • Kelvin Boucher-Chicago · Other3932.5%
  • Larry Breiland · Other2761.7%
  • Richard A. Jonasson · Other980.6%
  • Mi'Azhikwan · Independent950.6%

2018 result

  • Greg Rickford · Progressive Conservativeelected9,74848.6%
  • Glen Archer · Ontario NDP7,49337.3%
  • Karen Kejick · Liberal2,12310.6%
  • Ember McKillop · Green7073.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$81,50084 of 124
Average rent
$926120 of 124
Renters
20.4%86 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
14.4%114 of 124
Median age
45.820 of 124
Over 65
22.0%30 of 124
Immigrants
5.1%118 of 124
Visible minority
1.9%122 of 124
Indigenous identity
30.0%3 of 124
Unemployment
8.6%119 of 124

Closest races in Northern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.