Kitchener Centre
MPP: Aislinn Clancy · Green
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Green>99% chance of winning
- Green · 50.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Aislinn Clancy · Greenelected21,20051.4%
- Rob Elliott · Progressive Conservative9,99124.2%
- Colleen James · Liberal5,89214.3%
- Brooklin Wallis · Ontario NDP2,8216.8%
- Paul Simoes · Other8041.9%
- Sebastian Butnar-Stoica · Other3981.0%
- Christopher Nuhn · Independent1440.3%
- Margin
- 27.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 46.6%
- Registered
- 88,419
2023 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2025 general election instead; where a by-election since then changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Aislinn Clancy · Greenelected11,33448.0%
- Debbie Chapman · Ontario NDP6,31226.7%
- Rob Elliott · Progressive Conservative3,10913.2%
- Kelly Steiss · Liberal1,8217.7%
- Paul Simoes · Other5322.3%
- Gene Balfour · Other1780.8%
- Mark Dickson · Other610.3%
- Lionel Wayne Poizner · Other480.2%
- Peter House · Other430.2%
- Albert Michel Benlolo · Independent340.1%
- Jonathan Davis · Other330.1%
- Patrick Strzalkowski · Independent230.1%
- Mario Greco · Other220.1%
- Paul Stewart · Independent180.1%
- Ali Engering · Independent160.1%
- John Turmel · Independent130.1%
- Spencer Rocchi · Independent110.1%
- Raymond Samuels · Other80.0%
2022 result
- Laura Mae Lindo · Ontario NDPelected15,78940.6%
- Jim Schmidt · Progressive Conservative10,37626.7%
- Kelly Steiss · Liberal5,72814.7%
- Wayne Mak · Green4,98012.8%
- Peter Beimers · Other2,0295.2%
2018 result
- Laura Mae Lindo · Ontario NDPelected20,51243.4%
- Mary Henein Thorn · Progressive Conservative13,08027.7%
- Daiene Vernile · Liberal9,49920.1%
- Stacey Danckert · Green3,2346.8%
- Jason Erb · Other4390.9%
- Chris Carr · Other4290.9%
- Martin Suter · Other870.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $75,000107 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,23777 of 124
- Renters
- 49.2%16 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 27.0%62 of 124
- Median age
- 38.4102 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.0%78 of 124
- Immigrants
- 26.0%63 of 124
- Visible minority
- 25.2%69 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.4%50 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.3%81 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.