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Southwestern OntarioSafeUrban

London—Fanshawe

MPP: Teresa Armstrong · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 50.9% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Teresa Armstrong · Ontario NDPelected18,74947.6%
  • Pete Vanderley · Progressive Conservative13,48034.2%
  • Kevin May · Liberal4,88412.4%
  • William Osbourne-Sorrell · Green1,0452.6%
  • Christopher West · Other6541.7%
  • Dave Durnin · Other3811.0%
  • Alan John McDonald · Independent2050.5%
Margin
13.4%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
41.0%
Registered
96,054

2022 result

  • Teresa Armstrong · Ontario NDPelected16,12347.1%
  • Jane Kovarikova · Progressive Conservative11,22432.8%
  • Zeba Hashmi · Liberal3,55310.4%
  • Zack Ramsey · Green1,2003.5%
  • Adriana A. Medina · Other1,0723.1%
  • Doug Macdonald · Other5391.6%
  • Dave Durnin · Other2480.7%
  • Stephen R Campbell · Other2010.6%
  • T Paul Plumb · Other1000.3%

2018 result

  • Teresa J. Armstrong · Ontario NDPelected25,27255.7%
  • Eric Weniger · Progressive Conservative13,51929.8%
  • Lawvin Hadisi · Liberal3,7978.4%
  • Lisa Carriere · Green2,0504.5%
  • Stephen R. Campbell · Other3120.7%
  • Rob Small · Other2230.5%
  • Henryk Szymczyszyn · Other2180.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$75,000108 of 124
Average rent
$1,10797 of 124
Renters
33.0%42 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
15.7%108 of 124
Median age
38.895 of 124
Over 65
15.9%89 of 124
Immigrants
24.8%64 of 124
Visible minority
27.9%63 of 124
Indigenous identity
3.5%34 of 124
Unemployment
14.4%21 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.