London North Centre
MPP: Terence Kernaghan · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 49.4% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Terence Kernaghan · Ontario NDPelected22,58746.7%
- Jerry Pribil · Progressive Conservative15,78332.6%
- Tariq Khan · Liberal7,55715.6%
- Carol Dyck · Green1,6053.3%
- Chris Wile · Other5121.1%
- Paul McKeever · Other3120.7%
- Margin
- 14.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 46.2%
- Registered
- 104,571
2022 result
- Terence Kernaghan · Ontario NDPelected17,08239.6%
- Jerry Pribil · Progressive Conservative13,05130.3%
- Kate Graham · Liberal9,01320.9%
- Carol Dyck · Green2,0644.8%
- Tommy Caldwell · Other1,2002.8%
- Darrel Grant · Other3680.8%
- Paul McKeever · Other1600.4%
- George Le Mac · Other1470.3%
2018 result
- Terence Devin Kernaghan · Ontario NDPelected25,75747.6%
- Susan Truppe · Progressive Conservative16,70130.9%
- Kate Graham · Liberal8,50115.7%
- Carol Dyck · Green2,4934.6%
- Calvin McKay · Other2990.6%
- Paul McKeever · Other2340.4%
- Clara Sorrenti · Other1280.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $68,000121 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,19186 of 124
- Renters
- 54.6%10 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 35.4%39 of 124
- Median age
- 37.2113 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.8%71 of 124
- Immigrants
- 24.5%67 of 124
- Visible minority
- 31.1%58 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.4%49 of 124
- Unemployment
- 13.5%29 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.