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Southwestern OntarioSafeUrban

London West

MPP: Peggy Sattler · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 52.4% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Peggy Sattler · Ontario NDPelected26,58949.2%
  • Beth Allison · Progressive Conservative18,89235.0%
  • Baqar Khan · Liberal5,99111.1%
  • Jim Johnston · Green1,0211.9%
  • Shane Dale · Other6361.2%
  • Ken Byma · Other5721.1%
  • Tim Hodges · Other1790.3%
  • Timothy Hammer · Independent1530.3%
Margin
14.2%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
49.7%
Registered
108,634

2022 result

  • Peggy Sattler · Ontario NDPelected22,51045.1%
  • Paul Paolatto · Progressive Conservative16,88633.9%
  • Vanessa Lalonde · Liberal6,07712.2%
  • Colleen McCauley · Green1,7133.4%
  • Kristopher Hunt · Other1,2772.6%
  • Cynthia Workman · Other5211.0%
  • Jacques Y Boudreau · Other4340.9%
  • Brad Harness · Other2670.5%
  • Mike McMullen · Other1970.4%

2018 result

  • Peggy Sattler · Ontario NDPelected32,64455.3%
  • Andrew Lawton · Progressive Conservative17,13329.0%
  • Jonathan Hughes · Liberal5,8479.9%
  • Pamela Reid · Green2,2113.8%
  • Jacques Boudreau · Other5520.9%
  • Brad Harness · Other3040.5%
  • Tracey Pringle · Other2090.3%
  • Michael Lewis · Other960.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$85,00072 of 124
Average rent
$1,28871 of 124
Renters
37.2%35 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
34.6%41 of 124
Median age
40.478 of 124
Over 65
19.4%55 of 124
Immigrants
24.7%66 of 124
Visible minority
26.5%65 of 124
Indigenous identity
2.2%57 of 124
Unemployment
12.4%55 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.