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Nepean

MPP: Tyler Watt · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Liberal99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 48.8% projected vote99%
  • Progressive Conservative · 34.6% projected vote1%

2025 result

  • Tyler Watt · Liberalelected22,68348.5%
  • Alex Lewis · Progressive Conservative17,96238.4%
  • Max Blair · Ontario NDP4,1168.8%
  • Sheilagh McLean · Green8851.9%
  • John Kovach · Other4851.0%
  • Carmen Charbonneau · Other3850.8%
  • Peter Westaway · Independent2230.5%
Margin
10.1%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
45.1%
Registered
103,654

2022 result

  • Lisa Macleod · Progressive Conservativeelected17,12339.3%
  • Tyler Watt · Liberal15,02934.5%
  • Brian Double · Ontario NDP8,43519.3%
  • Kaitlyn Tremblay · Green1,6963.9%
  • Kathleen Corriveau · Other9642.2%
  • Bryan Emmerson · Other3700.8%

2018 result

  • Lisa Macleod · Progressive Conservativeelected23,89945.1%
  • Zaff Ansari · Ontario NDP15,11028.5%
  • Lovina Srivastava · Liberal10,38319.6%
  • James O'Grady · Green2,7395.2%
  • Mark A. Snow · Other4150.8%
  • Raphael Louis · Other3510.7%
  • Derrick Lionel Matthews · Other600.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$118,00018 of 124
Average rent
$1,75622 of 124
Renters
20.4%85 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
39.6%27 of 124
Median age
38.4104 of 124
Over 65
13.6%114 of 124
Immigrants
30.6%52 of 124
Visible minority
40.9%40 of 124
Indigenous identity
2.1%60 of 124
Unemployment
10.2%99 of 124

Closest races in Ottawa

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.