Orléans
MPP: Stephen Blais · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal>99% chance of winning
- Liberal · 54.2% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Stephen Blais · Liberalelected30,48254.2%
- Stéphan Plourde · Progressive Conservative19,86835.3%
- Matthew Sévigny · Ontario NDP3,3786.0%
- Michelle Petersen · Green1,3982.5%
- Patricia Hooper · Other6361.1%
- Ken Lewis · Other2330.4%
- Arabella Vida · Independent1380.3%
- Burthomley Douzable · Independent1290.2%
- Margin
- 18.9%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 47.4%
- Registered
- 118,683
2022 result
- Stephen Blais · Liberalelected23,98246.3%
- Melissa Felián · Progressive Conservative16,92632.6%
- Gabe Bourdon · Ontario NDP7,15013.8%
- Michelle Petersen · Green2,3594.5%
- Liam Randall · Other7961.5%
- Vince Clements · Other4420.8%
- Ken Lewis · Other1840.3%
2020 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2025 general election instead; where a by-election since then changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Stephen Blais · Liberalelected14,30256.1%
- Natalie Montgomery · Progressive Conservative5,94523.3%
- Manon Parrot · Ontario NDP3,88815.3%
- Andrew West · Green1,0694.2%
- Jean-Serge Brisson · Other1380.5%
- Keegan Bennett · Other1000.4%
- John Turmel · Other320.1%
- Gerrie Huenemoerder · Other280.1%
2018 result
- Marie-France Lalonde · Liberalelected24,97239.0%
- Cameron Montgomery · Progressive Conservative22,50935.2%
- Barbara Zarboni · Ontario NDP14,03321.9%
- Nicholas Lapierre · Green1,6032.5%
- Samuel Schwisberg · Independent4350.7%
- Gerald Bourdeau · Other3980.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $122,00012 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,69829 of 124
- Renters
- 14.8%112 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 36.5%36 of 124
- Median age
- 41.270 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.0%77 of 124
- Immigrants
- 22.0%75 of 124
- Visible minority
- 29.5%61 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.8%42 of 124
- Unemployment
- 8.7%116 of 124
Closest races in Ottawa
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.