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Ottawa Centre

MPP: Catherine McKenney · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 58.4% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Catherine McKenney · Ontario NDPelected32,48355.7%
  • Thomas Simpson · Liberal13,59123.3%
  • Scott Healey · Progressive Conservative9,57316.4%
  • Simon Beckett · Green1,5502.7%
  • Maria Desouza · Other4680.8%
  • Shannon Boschy · Other3210.6%
  • Cashton Perry · Other2320.4%
  • Josh Rachlis · Independent1020.2%
Margin
32.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
48.9%
Registered
119,363

2022 result

  • Joel Harden · Ontario NDPelected30,31154.3%
  • Katie Gibbs · Liberal12,59622.6%
  • Scott Healey · Progressive Conservative8,77315.7%
  • Shelby Bertrand · Green2,7184.9%
  • Glen Armstrong · Other7981.4%
  • Marc Adornato · Other2330.4%
  • Stuart Ryan · Other1530.3%
  • Thomas Borcsok · Independent820.1%
  • Raymond Samuels · Other590.1%
  • Josh Rachlis · Independent580.1%

2018 result

  • Joel Harden · Ontario NDPelected29,67546.1%
  • Yasir Naqvi · Liberal21,11132.8%
  • Colleen McCleery · Progressive Conservative10,32716.0%
  • Cherie Wong · Green2,2663.5%
  • Marc Adornato · Other4370.7%
  • Bruce A. Faulkner · Other3850.6%
  • Stuart Ryan · Other1100.2%
  • James Sears · Other920.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$86,00067 of 124
Average rent
$1,39059 of 124
Renters
58.8%4 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
57.9%3 of 124
Median age
38.0109 of 124
Over 65
16.6%83 of 124
Immigrants
20.7%79 of 124
Visible minority
23.8%72 of 124
Indigenous identity
2.4%51 of 124
Unemployment
9.9%101 of 124

Closest races in Ottawa

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.