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OttawaSafeUrban

Ottawa West—Nepean

MPP: Chandra Pasma · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 52.0% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Chandra Pasma · Ontario NDPelected20,08749.3%
  • Husien Abu-Rayash · Progressive Conservative11,69728.7%
  • Brett Szmul · Liberal7,22917.8%
  • Sophia Andrew-Joiner · Green9762.4%
  • Rylan Vroom · Other7331.8%
Margin
20.6%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
44.9%
Registered
90,773

2022 result

  • Chandra Pasma · Ontario NDPelected15,69637.5%
  • Jeremy Roberts · Progressive Conservative14,61034.9%
  • Sam Bhalesar · Liberal9,38422.4%
  • Steven Warren · Green1,4753.5%
  • Vilteau Delvas · Other6491.6%

2018 result

  • Jeremy Roberts · Progressive Conservativeelected16,59032.8%
  • Chandra Pasma · Ontario NDP16,41532.5%
  • Bob Chiarelli · Liberal14,81029.3%
  • Pat Freel · Green1,9373.8%
  • Colin A. Pritchard · Other5421.1%
  • Nicholas Paliga · Other2510.5%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$84,00076 of 124
Average rent
$1,36663 of 124
Renters
49.4%15 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
38.5%29 of 124
Median age
40.480 of 124
Over 65
20.7%39 of 124
Immigrants
28.4%56 of 124
Visible minority
35.2%46 of 124
Indigenous identity
2.8%43 of 124
Unemployment
12.3%56 of 124

Closest races in Ottawa

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.