Ottawa South
MPP: John Fraser · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal>99% chance of winning
- Liberal · 53.0% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- John Fraser · Liberalelected22,32653.2%
- Jan Gao · Progressive Conservative10,31524.6%
- Morgan Gay · Ontario NDP7,44717.8%
- Nira Dookeran · Green1,2062.9%
- Alex Perrier · Other6381.5%
- Margin
- 28.6%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 42.2%
- Registered
- 99,305
2022 result
- John Fraser · Liberalelected18,28245.1%
- Morgan Gay · Ontario NDP9,61923.8%
- Edward Dinca · Progressive Conservative9,39023.2%
- Nira Dookeran · Green1,8854.7%
- Martin Ince · Other6751.7%
- Myles Dear · Other3860.9%
- Daniel Thomas · Independent1540.4%
- Larry Wasslen · Other1090.3%
2018 result
- John Fraser · Liberalelected20,77339.6%
- Karin Howard · Progressive Conservative15,31929.2%
- Eleanor Fast · Ontario NDP14,25027.2%
- Les Schram · Green1,6183.1%
- Robert Daigneault · Other3420.7%
- Larry Wasslen · Other1140.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $87,00061 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,26774 of 124
- Renters
- 44.9%25 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 38.1%30 of 124
- Median age
- 38.897 of 124
- Over 65
- 18.0%67 of 124
- Immigrants
- 33.3%47 of 124
- Visible minority
- 44.2%34 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.3%55 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.3%59 of 124
Closest races in Ottawa
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.