Niagara Falls
MPP: Wayne J. Gates · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 58.1% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Wayne J. Gates · Ontario NDPelected29,54955.0%
- Ruth-Ann Nieuwesteeg · Progressive Conservative18,56934.5%
- Shafoli Kapur · Liberal3,3986.3%
- Gary Dumelie · Other8701.6%
- Celia Taylor · Green8371.6%
- Andrew Soifert · Other2850.5%
- Joedy Burdett · Independent2630.5%
- Margin
- 20.4%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 44.6%
- Registered
- 120,441
2022 result
- Wayne Gates · Ontario NDPelected24,20748.1%
- Bob Gale · Progressive Conservative18,34236.4%
- Ashley Waters · Liberal4,2398.4%
- Christine Lewis-Napolitano · Other1,4092.8%
- Tommy Ward · Green1,3562.7%
- Wesley Kavanagh · Other6561.3%
- Devon St. Denis-Richard · Other1350.3%
2018 result
- Wayne Gates · Ontario NDPelected30,16150.8%
- Chuck McShane · Progressive Conservative21,12635.6%
- Dean Demizio · Liberal5,5549.3%
- Karen Fraser · Green2,0573.5%
- Shaun Somers · Other3140.5%
- Goran Zubic · Other1690.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $77,50097 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,21679 of 124
- Renters
- 25.5%69 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 20.1%83 of 124
- Median age
- 48.012 of 124
- Over 65
- 25.0%11 of 124
- Immigrants
- 21.9%76 of 124
- Visible minority
- 16.9%81 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.0%40 of 124
- Unemployment
- 20.1%1 of 124
Closest races in Hamilton-Niagara
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.