Nickel Belt
MPP: France Gélinas · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 51.8% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- France Gélinas · Ontario NDPelected17,12348.4%
- Randy Hazlett · Progressive Conservative12,62935.7%
- Natalie Labbée · Liberal3,87410.9%
- Paul Divincenzo · Other6761.9%
- Connie Hill · Green6311.8%
- James Chretien · Other4701.3%
- Margin
- 12.7%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 50.1%
- Registered
- 70,685
2022 result
- France Gélinas · Ontario NDPelected15,61150.8%
- Randy Hazlett · Progressive Conservative9,18129.9%
- Gilles Proulx · Liberal3,0429.9%
- Melanie Savoie · Other1,5225.0%
- Glenys Babcock · Green9213.0%
- Willy Schneider · Other4701.5%
2018 result
- France Gélinas · Ontario NDPelected23,15763.5%
- Jo-Ann Cardinal · Progressive Conservative8,01822.0%
- Tay Butt · Liberal3,1828.7%
- Bill Crumplin · Green1,1373.1%
- Matthew del Papa · Other3731.0%
- James Chretien · Other2200.6%
- Kevin R. Brault · Other2140.6%
- Bailey Burch-Belanger · Other1660.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $102,00037 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,056104 of 124
- Renters
- 16.9%104 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 16.2%104 of 124
- Median age
- 44.135 of 124
- Over 65
- 19.1%58 of 124
- Immigrants
- 3.5%120 of 124
- Visible minority
- 1.9%121 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 12.1%9 of 124
- Unemployment
- 8.8%114 of 124
Closest races in Northern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.