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Northern OntarioSafeRural

Nipissing

MPP: Vic Fedeli · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 51.4% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Vic Fedeli · Progressive Conservativeelected17,35654.8%
  • Loren Mick · Ontario NDP7,98025.2%
  • Liam McGarry · Liberal3,99612.6%
  • Colton Chaput · Green1,2924.1%
  • Michelle Lashbrook · Other5361.7%
  • Scott Mooney · Other4961.6%
Margin
29.6%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
48.4%
Registered
65,384

2022 result

  • Vic Fedeli · Progressive Conservativeelected15,39250.2%
  • Erika Lougheed · Ontario NDP8,66528.3%
  • Tanya Vrebosch · Liberal4,15013.5%
  • Sean McClocklin · Green1,0253.3%
  • Joe Jobin · Other6162.0%
  • Taylor Russell · Other3991.3%
  • Michelle Lashbrook · Other3151.0%
  • Giacomo Vezina · Other970.3%

2018 result

  • Vic Fedeli · Progressive Conservativeelected17,59849.9%
  • Henri Giroux · Ontario NDP12,99436.9%
  • Stephen Glass · Liberal2,7947.9%
  • Kris Rivard · Green9972.8%
  • Trevor Holliday · Other7382.1%
  • Bond Keevil · Other1220.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$74,500110 of 124
Average rent
$1,003111 of 124
Renters
32.2%47 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
17.7%93 of 124
Median age
45.919 of 124
Over 65
22.2%26 of 124
Immigrants
4.6%119 of 124
Visible minority
3.2%115 of 124
Indigenous identity
12.1%10 of 124
Unemployment
11.6%73 of 124

Closest races in Northern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.