Ottawa—Vanier
MPP: Lucille Collard · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal>99% chance of winning
- Liberal · 51.8% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Lucille Collard · Liberalelected20,72151.5%
- Marilissa Gosselin · Progressive Conservative9,08522.6%
- Myriam Djilane · Ontario NDP7,35018.3%
- Christian Proulx · Green2,0835.2%
- Coreen Corcoran · Other5251.3%
- Rishabh Bhatia · Other5111.3%
- Margin
- 28.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 38.5%
- Registered
- 104,696
2022 result
- Lucille Collard · Liberalelected16,13241.7%
- Lyra Evans · Ontario NDP10,02625.9%
- Patrick Mayangi · Progressive Conservative7,79820.2%
- Christian Proulx · Green3,0197.8%
- Eric Armstrong-Giroux · Other5871.5%
- Michael Pastien · Other4001.0%
- Coreen Corcoran · Other3350.9%
- Blake Hamilton · Other2100.5%
- David McGruer · Other1660.4%
2020 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2025 general election instead; where a by-election since then changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Lucille Collard · Liberalelected10,40352.2%
- Myriam Djilane · Ontario NDP5,03125.3%
- Patrick Mayangi · Progressive Conservative2,32911.7%
- Ben Koczwarski · Green1,7108.6%
- Julie Fiala · Independent1880.9%
- Ken Lewis · Other1290.7%
- Above Znoneofthe · Other950.5%
- J. Justin O'Donnell · Other380.2%
2018 result
- Nathalie des Rosiers · Liberalelected20,55542.9%
- Lyra Evans · Ontario NDP14,23229.7%
- Fadi Nemr · Progressive Conservative10,25221.4%
- Sheilagh McLean · Green1,9554.1%
- Keegan Bennett · Other4130.9%
- Ken Lewis · Other3320.7%
- David McGruer · Other2190.5%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $76,000104 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,28472 of 124
- Renters
- 57.8%6 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 40.4%25 of 124
- Median age
- 40.479 of 124
- Over 65
- 19.7%51 of 124
- Immigrants
- 26.9%61 of 124
- Visible minority
- 34.3%52 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.8%30 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.7%50 of 124
Closest races in Ottawa
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.