Scarborough—Guildwood
MPP: Andrea Hazell · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal>99% chance of winning
- Liberal · 51.1% projected vote>99%
- Progressive Conservative · 33.9% projected vote<1%
2025 result
- Andrea Hazell · Liberalelected13,81351.0%
- Jude Aloysius · Progressive Conservative10,22437.8%
- Christian Keay · Ontario NDP1,8116.7%
- Tara McMahon · Green6612.4%
- Anthony Internicola · Other2981.1%
- Kevin Clarke · Independent1690.6%
- Kingsley Cato · Independent980.4%
- Margin
- 13.3%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 38.3%
- Registered
- 70,700
2023 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2025 general election instead; where a by-election since then changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Andrea Hazell · Liberalelected5,64036.5%
- Gary Crawford · Progressive Conservative4,56229.6%
- Thadsha Navaneethan · Ontario NDP4,04126.2%
- Tony Walton · Other5083.3%
- Danielle Height · Other1511.0%
- Tara McMahon · Green1460.9%
- Reginald Tull · Other1390.9%
- Paul Fromm · Other660.4%
- Kevin Mark Clarke · Independent570.4%
- Habiba Desai · Independent520.3%
- Abu Alam · Independent480.3%
- John Turmel · Independent200.1%
2022 result
- Mitzie Hunter · Liberalelected13,40546.3%
- Alicia Vianga · Progressive Conservative9,12331.5%
- Veronica Javier · Ontario NDP4,82416.7%
- Dean Boulding · Green8182.8%
- Opa Hope Day · Other3661.3%
- William Moore · Other2650.9%
- Kevin Clarke · Other1480.5%
2018 result
- Mitzie Hunter · Liberalelected11,97233.3%
- Roshan Nallaratnam · Progressive Conservative11,89833.1%
- Tom Packwood · Ontario NDP9,91727.6%
- Linda Rice · Green8782.5%
- Hamid-Reza Dehnad-Tabatabaei · Other4451.2%
- George Marcos Garvida · Other4191.2%
- Wanda Ryan · Other1590.4%
- Heather Dunbar · Other1510.4%
- Benjamin Mbaegbu · Other660.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $78,50095 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,19783 of 124
- Renters
- 45.0%24 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 29.4%57 of 124
- Median age
- 38.4105 of 124
- Over 65
- 16.6%84 of 124
- Immigrants
- 53.4%19 of 124
- Visible minority
- 76.4%10 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.2%81 of 124
- Unemployment
- 16.3%10 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.