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TorontoSafeUrban

Spadina—Fort York

MPP: Chris Glover · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 47.2% projected vote99%
  • Liberal · 31.3% projected vote1%

2025 result

  • Chris Glover · Ontario NDPelected20,44145.0%
  • April Engelberg · Liberal14,33131.6%
  • Omar Farhat · Progressive Conservative9,13920.1%
  • Patrick Macklem · Green1,2202.7%
  • Ron Shaw · Other2930.7%
Margin
13.4%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
41.6%
Registered
109,204

2022 result

  • Chris Glover · Ontario NDPelected15,59546.1%
  • Chi Nguyen · Liberal9,46327.9%
  • Husain Neemuchwala · Progressive Conservative6,22118.4%
  • Cara Des Granges · Green1,9025.6%
  • Angela Asher · Other5811.7%
  • Jan Osko · Other950.3%

2018 result

  • Chris Glover · Ontario NDPelected24,67749.6%
  • Han Dong · Liberal11,77023.7%
  • Iris Yu · Progressive Conservative10,83421.8%
  • Rita Bilerman · Green1,8153.6%
  • Erik Malmholt · Other2780.6%
  • Adam Nobody · Other2710.5%
  • Queenie Yu · Other860.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$89,00055 of 124
Average rent
$1,9887 of 124
Renters
58.1%5 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
65.5%1 of 124
Median age
32.8123 of 124
Over 65
7.8%124 of 124
Immigrants
39.8%38 of 124
Visible minority
52.0%31 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.0%87 of 124
Unemployment
9.8%104 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.