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Northern OntarioSafeRural

Timmins

MPP: George Pirie · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 64.0% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • George Pirie · Progressive Conservativeelected9,37168.4%
  • Corey Lepage · Ontario NDP2,73219.9%
  • Dominic Casto · Liberal1,1278.2%
  • Marie-Josée Yelle · Green2481.8%
  • David Farrell · Other2201.6%
Margin
48.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
41.5%
Registered
33,034

2022 result

  • George Pirie · Progressive Conservativeelected9,35664.8%
  • Gilles Bisson · Ontario NDP4,27129.6%
  • David Farrell · Other4212.9%
  • Elizabeth Lockhard · Green3232.2%
  • Nadia Sadiq · Other660.5%

2018 result

  • Gilles Bisson · Ontario NDPelected8,97857.4%
  • Yvan L. Génier · Progressive Conservative4,63429.6%
  • Mickey Auger · Liberal1,3788.8%
  • Lucas Blake Schinbeckler · Green2731.8%
  • Gary Schaap · Other2491.6%
  • Jozef Bauer · Other1210.8%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$81,00085 of 124
Average rent
$935119 of 124
Renters
32.9%43 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
12.8%118 of 124
Median age
41.955 of 124
Over 65
18.2%65 of 124
Immigrants
3.2%121 of 124
Visible minority
3.8%109 of 124
Indigenous identity
14.8%6 of 124
Unemployment
8.6%118 of 124

Closest races in Northern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.