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Toronto Centre

MPP: Kristyn Wong-Tam · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP96% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 47.3% projected vote96%
  • Liberal · 36.3% projected vote4%

2025 result

  • Kristyn Wong-Tam · Ontario NDPelected17,41544.5%
  • Holly Rasky · Liberal14,15236.2%
  • Ruth Farkas · Progressive Conservative5,69214.5%
  • Andrew Massey · Green1,0542.7%
  • Sana Ahmad · Other3811.0%
  • Steve Hoehlmann · Other2900.7%
  • Cory Deville · Independent1510.4%
Margin
8.3%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
42.3%
Registered
92,620

2022 result

  • Kristyn Wong-Tam · Ontario NDPelected15,28543.8%
  • David Morris · Liberal12,82036.7%
  • Jess Goddard · Progressive Conservative4,24512.2%
  • Nicki Ward · Green1,7845.1%
  • Steve Hoehlmann · Other3851.1%
  • Ivan Byard · Other1660.5%
  • Ron Shaw · Other1310.4%
  • Jennifer Snell · Other1050.3%

2018 result

  • Suze Morrison · Ontario NDPelected23,68853.7%
  • David Morris · Liberal11,98627.1%
  • Meredith Cartwright · Progressive Conservative6,23414.1%
  • Adam Sommerfeld · Green1,3773.1%
  • Judi Falardeau · Other3710.8%
  • Dan King · Other1170.3%
  • Cameron James · Other1100.3%
  • Theresa Snell · Other1020.2%
  • Kevin Clarke · Other980.2%
  • Wanda Marie Fountain · Other650.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$65,500123 of 124
Average rent
$1,52044 of 124
Renters
70.0%1 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
54.5%7 of 124
Median age
35.2121 of 124
Over 65
11.2%120 of 124
Immigrants
41.7%33 of 124
Visible minority
57.4%28 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.4%71 of 124
Unemployment
15.1%16 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.