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TorontoSafeUrban

University—Rosedale

MPP: Jessica Bell · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 47.7% projected vote>99%
  • Liberal · 30.5% projected vote<1%

2025 result

  • Jessica Bell · Ontario NDPelected17,91245.5%
  • Pam Jeffery · Liberal12,09830.7%
  • Sydney Pothakos · Progressive Conservative7,82919.9%
  • Ignacio Mongrell · Green1,2273.1%
  • Dylan Harris · Other2990.8%
Margin
14.8%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
44.1%
Registered
89,216

2022 result

  • Jessica Bell · Ontario NDPelected13,96137.5%
  • Andrea Barrack · Liberal10,17227.4%
  • Carl Qiu · Progressive Conservative6,53517.6%
  • Dianne Saxe · Green5,90415.9%
  • James Leventakis · Other4691.3%
  • John Kanary · Other1400.4%

2018 result

  • Jessica Bell · Ontario NDPelected24,53749.7%
  • Jo-Ann Davis · Liberal10,89822.1%
  • Gillian Smith · Progressive Conservative10,43121.1%
  • Tim Grant · Green2,6525.4%
  • Daryl Christoff · Other2840.6%
  • Doug Macleod · Independent2200.5%
  • Ryan Swim · Other2060.4%
  • Paulo Figueiras · Other1060.2%
  • Hilton Milan · Other780.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$84,00077 of 124
Average rent
$1,9768 of 124
Renters
56.9%7 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
61.5%2 of 124
Median age
37.2114 of 124
Over 65
18.6%63 of 124
Immigrants
34.0%46 of 124
Visible minority
37.5%42 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.9%88 of 124
Unemployment
12.8%47 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.