Waterloo
MPP: Catherine Fife · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 53.5% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Catherine Fife · Ontario NDPelected25,05550.2%
- Peter Turkington · Progressive Conservative13,67027.4%
- Clayton Moore · Liberal7,83915.7%
- Shefaza Esmail · Green1,8143.6%
- Suja Biber · Other5431.1%
- Chris Martin · Other4771.0%
- James Schulz · Other3250.7%
- Peter House · Other1610.3%
- Margin
- 22.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 51.4%
- Registered
- 97,094
2022 result
- Catherine Fife · Ontario NDPelected20,61545.9%
- Andrew Aitken · Progressive Conservative13,17629.3%
- Jennifer Tuck · Liberal6,25113.9%
- Shefaza Esmail · Green3,1106.9%
- Vladimir Voznyuk · Other1,1782.6%
- Benjamin Hufnagel · Other3590.8%
- Christian Shingiro · Other1300.3%
- Peter House · Other1030.2%
2018 result
- Catherine Fife · Ontario NDPelected27,31550.5%
- Dan Weber · Progressive Conservative16,97331.4%
- Dorothy McCabe · Liberal6,57712.2%
- Zdravko Gunjevic · Green2,6134.8%
- Andrew Allison · Other5661.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $95,00046 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,44052 of 124
- Renters
- 37.8%34 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 43.2%20 of 124
- Median age
- 36.0119 of 124
- Over 65
- 15.2%98 of 124
- Immigrants
- 27.3%59 of 124
- Visible minority
- 34.5%51 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.4%76 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.9%67 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.