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Southwestern OntarioSafeUrban

Windsor West

MPP: Lisa Gretzky · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 46.2% projected vote>99%
  • Progressive Conservative · 28.7% projected vote<1%

2025 result

  • Lisa Gretzky · Ontario NDPelected19,39252.1%
  • Tony Francis · Progressive Conservative14,66539.4%
  • Matthew Giancola · Other1,0192.7%
  • Nick Kolasky · Green8682.3%
  • Mark Dewdney · Other7402.0%
  • Joshua Griffin · Other5231.4%
Margin
12.7%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
38.3%
Registered
97,064

2022 result

  • Lisa Gretzky · Ontario NDPelected13,39542.2%
  • John Leontowicz · Progressive Conservative11,21135.3%
  • Linda L McCurdy · Liberal4,15913.1%
  • Jeremy Palko · Other1,4784.7%
  • Krysta Glovasky-Ridsdale · Green8792.8%
  • Joshua Griffin · Other6302.0%

2018 result

  • Lisa Gretzky · Ontario NDPelected20,27652.1%
  • Adam Ibrahim · Progressive Conservative11,07328.5%
  • Rino Bortolin · Liberal5,72214.7%
  • Krysta Glovasky-Ridsdale · Green1,3933.6%
  • Chad Durocher · Other4351.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$68,500120 of 124
Average rent
$1,041105 of 124
Renters
40.6%31 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
26.2%66 of 124
Median age
38.4106 of 124
Over 65
16.7%82 of 124
Immigrants
32.1%49 of 124
Visible minority
41.4%39 of 124
Indigenous identity
2.6%44 of 124
Unemployment
18.5%2 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.